| Current Weather Image |
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 Image Updates Every 5 Minutes |
| Current Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: | |
|---|---|
| Last Updated | Title |
| 2023-09-28T15:00:00-04:00 | Coastal Flood Advisory issued September 28 at 3:00PM EDT until September 30 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS |
| Current Conditions as of: Sep 28, 2023 @ 4:59 pm EDT | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind: ENE at 3 mph | Gust: 14 mph | Temp: 75°F | Dew Point: 68°F | Humidity: 81% |
| Feels Like: 75°F | Wind Chill: N/A | Pressure: 29.93 inHg | Rain Rate: 0.00 in/hr | Daily Rain: 0.02 in |
| 5-Day Forecast Outlook | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Sep 28 | Fri, Sep 29 | Sat, Sep 30 | Sun, Oct 01 | Mon, Oct 02 | |
| Weather |  |
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 |
 |
| Precip Chance | 32% | 24% | 4% | 4% | 32% |
| Precip Total | 0″ | 0″ | 0″ | 0″ | 0.01″ |
| Winds | NNE @ 11G28 mph | ENE @ 10G21 mph | NE @ 13G22 mph | NE @ 13G22 mph | NE @ 12G23 mph |
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
000
ABNT20 KNHC 281736
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Sep 28 2023
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Philippe, located several hundred miles east of the northern
Leeward Islands, and on newly formed Tropical Storm Rina located
over the tropical central Atlantic.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Rina are issued under
WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Rina are issued
under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Summary for Tropical Storm Philippe (AT2/AL172023)
…PHILIPPE’S FATE IS UNCERTAIN…
As of 5:00 PM AST Thu Sep 28
the center of Philippe was located near 18.9, -55.1
with movement WNW at 2 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
As of 5:00 PM AST Thu Sep 28
the center of Philippe was located near 18.9, -55.1
with movement WNW at 2 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
Tropical Storm Philippe Public Advisory Number 22
Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023
635 WTNT32 KNHC 282047 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Philippe Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172023 500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023 ...PHILIPPE'S FATE IS UNCERTAIN... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.9N 55.1W ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Philippe was located near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 55.1 West. Philippe is moving toward the west-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A slow westward or southwestward motion is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days, but Philippe could dissipate during that time. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tropical Storm Philippe Forecast Advisory Number 22
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023
634 WTNT22 KNHC 282047 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023 2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 55.1W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 55.1W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 55.0W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.9N 55.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.7N 55.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.3N 56.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.9N 56.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.5N 57.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.0N 57.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 18.6N 58.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 20.6N 59.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 55.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tropical Storm Philippe Forecast Discussion Number 22
Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023
483 WTNT42 KNHC 282047 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Philippe Discussion Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172023 500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023 Philippe remains poorly organized. Visible satellite images indicate that the circulation is elongated from east to west and appears to have multiple centers along a trough axis. The center position listed in the advisory seems to be the main center and there is some deep convection on its east and southeast sides. Philippe barely meets the criteria needed for a tropical cyclone as it has lost some organization today. The initial intensity is lowered to 40 kt, which is near the high end of the latest satellite intensity estimates. The initial motion is highly uncertain since the storm is elongated and confidence in the initial position remains low. The track forecast is challenging, in part due to Philippe's close proximity to Tropical Storm Rina. During the next few days, Philippe will likely move slowly southwestward as it rotates around Rina currently to its east. By late in the weekend, however, a sharp northward turn is expected when a mid-level ridge becomes established over the central subtropical Atlantic. There remains a very large east-west spread in the models, and disagreements on where Philippe makes its northward turn. The GFS is the right-most model while the ECMWF remains the model farthest west. The NHC track forecast is little changed from the previous one and remains closest to the ECMWF model, which has been performing best so far for this storm. The observed weakening of the system today appears to be related to its interaction with Rina and some environmental dry air. Since these factors are expected to persist, some additional weakening is forecast during the next day or so, and it is possible that Philippe dissipates sometime during the next couple of days. However, if the storm does survive, environmental conditions are expected to become a little more favorable when Philippe and Rina become more separated later in the forecast period. There is a huge spread in the intensity models with HWRF, HMON, and the GFS showing Philippe becoming a significant hurricane while the HAFS-A and HAFS-B models show gradual weakening. The NHC intensity forecast is a little lower than the previous one in the short term, but is otherwise unchanged and closer to the low end of the model guidance. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/2100Z 18.9N 55.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 29/0600Z 18.9N 55.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 29/1800Z 18.7N 55.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 30/0600Z 18.3N 56.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 30/1800Z 17.9N 56.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 01/0600Z 17.5N 57.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 01/1800Z 17.0N 57.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 96H 02/1800Z 18.6N 58.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 120H 03/1800Z 20.6N 59.1W 40 KT 45 MPH $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tropical Storm Philippe Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023
613
FONT12 KNHC 282047
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172023
2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
SABA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tropical Storm Philippe Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:48:51 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:48:51 GMT
Summary for Tropical Storm Rina (AT3/AL182023)
…RINA STEADY IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC…
As of 5:00 PM AST Thu Sep 28
the center of Rina was located near 18.1, -46.2
with movement NW at 14 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
As of 5:00 PM AST Thu Sep 28
the center of Rina was located near 18.1, -46.2
with movement NW at 14 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Tropical Storm Rina Public Advisory Number 2
Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023
000 WTNT33 KNHC 282045 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rina Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182023 500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023 ...RINA STEADY IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 46.2W ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rina was located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 46.2 West. Rina is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and the storm is expected to turn more westward tonight or tomorrow. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual strengthening is forecast during the next several days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Hogsett/Cangialosi
Tropical Storm Rina Forecast Advisory Number 2
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023
000 WTNT23 KNHC 282045 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182023 2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 46.2W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 46.2W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 46.0W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.8N 46.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.4N 47.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.7N 48.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.1N 50.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 20.6N 51.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 20SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 21.5N 53.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 24.2N 56.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 26.8N 58.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 46.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER HOGSETT/CANGIALOSI
Tropical Storm Rina Forecast Discussion Number 2
Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023
000 WTNT43 KNHC 282046 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Rina Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182023 500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023 Tropical Storm Rina has not changed much this afternoon. Visible satellite imagery indicates that the center of circulation is mostly exposed to the northwest of persistent deep convective activity. Subjective Dvorak estimates from SAB and TAFB both support an initial intensity of 35 kt for this advisory. A combination of Rina's close proximity to Tropical Storm Philippe and moderate deep-layer northwesterly shear is likely to limit intensification in the short term. This shear is expected to increase this weekend and early next week, and it not forecast to abate during the forecast period. The NHC forecast remains in the middle of the guidance envelope and is slightly lower than the prior forecast. While Rina is expected to remain a tropical storm throughout the forecast period, uncertainty in the intensity forecast is higher than normal due to the potential interaction with Philippe. Rina is moving northwestward, with an initial forward speed near 12 kt. The tropical storm should begin to turn more westward tonight and continue this general motion for the next several days. Early next week, the system is expected to turn northward and eventually northeastward as a mid-level ridge builds to the west. The NHC forecast is a blend of the prior forecast and the HCCA and TVCN consensus guidance throughout the forecast period. As with the intensity forecast, confidence in the track forecast is lower than normal due to uncertainty regarding the potential interaction of Rina with Tropical Storm Philippe during the next several days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/2100Z 18.1N 46.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 29/0600Z 18.8N 46.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 29/1800Z 19.4N 47.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 30/0600Z 19.7N 48.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 30/1800Z 20.1N 50.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 01/0600Z 20.6N 51.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 01/1800Z 21.5N 53.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 02/1800Z 24.2N 56.7W 35 KT 40 MPH 120H 03/1800Z 26.8N 58.4W 35 KT 40 MPH $$ Forecaster Hogsett/Cangialosi
Tropical Storm Rina Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023
507
FONT13 KNHC 282045
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM RINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182023
2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
$$
FORECASTER HOGSETT
Tropical Storm Rina Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:47:06 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:47:06 GMT